October 20, 2004
RMSP PAC Update on Senate and House Races

Republican Main Street Partnership

PAC Update Oct. 20, 2004

Alaska Senate Race – Lisa Murkowski (incumbent)

USA Today (10/19, Stone) reports Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski "has reason to feel targeted. Democrats in Washington are sending slings and arrows her way in their bid to take back control of the closely divided Senate. President Bush is expected to win in a landslide here, and no Senate race has been competitive for a generation. Yet polls show Murkowski and" Democrat Tony Knowles, a "popular, former two- term governor, in a statistical tie.

Knowles has pulled even with Murkowski in fundraising, according to third quarter reports. Knowles raised $1.8M in the last quarter, compared to Murkowski's $1.2M, raising each's total to $4.5M.  To date, the DSCC has bought no time in Kentucky, focusing its resources instead on the eight open-seat contests and the challenge to Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska).

This race is one of the most important for our RMSP candidates and Sen. Murkowski needs all the help she can get.  With control of the Senate at stake this race is crucial.

Washington Senate race – George Nethercutt (challenger)

A SurveyUSA automated poll of 634 likely Washington voters (+/-4%) taken 10/15-10/17 for KING-TV Seattle and KHQ-TV Spokane shows Sen. Patty Murray (D) leading challenger Rep. George Nethercutt (R) 56%-38% with 6% undecided or backing someone else. This seat could likely determine which party controls the Senate, so please try to do all you can to support one of our strong members and a top candidate for U.S. Senate.

New York House Seat (NY-27) – Nancy Naples (open seat)

New York's 27th district, where Democrat Brian Higgins and Republican Nancy Naples are locked in a tight contest to replace retiring Rep. Jack Quinn (R), may be the most even contest in the country. Naples is the better candidate, but the district strongly favors Higgins. Neither candidate has established much momentum in this must-win race for the Democrats.

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) is scheduled to host a second fundraiser for Higgins. Clinton and Rep. Joseph Crowley (D-N.Y.) will headline an Oct. 26 fundraiser for Higgins in Manhattan. The former first lady already hosted a fundraiser for Higgins in her Washington, D.C., home in late September. The race between Higgins and Erie County Comptroller Nancy Naples (R) is considered one of the true tossups of the cycle.  This is an important seat to keep in moderate hands and Nancy Naples will be a strong RMSP member, so please try to provide whatever support you can.

Pennsylvania House Seat (PA-13) – Melissa Brown (open seat)

The 13th District, where Republican eye surgeon Melissa Brown and Democratic state Sen. Allyson Y. Schwartz are slugging it out in the nation's most competitive House race between two women. The seat in Montgomery County and northeast Philadelphia is being vacated by Democratic Rep. Joe Hoeffel, who is running for the U.S. Senate.  The race took a nasty turn in recent weeks, with Brown calling Schwartz a "radical" and Schwartz labeling Brown "sleazy." The district has a slight Democratic advantage, although national Republicans are spending twice as much - $696,700 to $387,400 - than national Democrats. This is an open seat where we have an excellent chance to both pick up a Democratic seat, and gain another moderate Republican to make up for the loss of Rep. Jim Greenwood.  Please consider doing all you can to help Melissa Brown as we head into the final stages of this campaign cycle.

Connecticut House Seat (CT-02) – Rob Simmons (incumbent)

The AP  reports today that a new UConn poll shows CT2 Rep. Rob Simmons (R) leading challenger Jim Sullivan (D) 43%-34% with 23% undecided.  A similar poll in September showed Simmons up 38%-34%.  Simmons represents a district where only 22 percent of registered voters are Republican - holding a seat that Democrats held for 20 years before his victory over former Congressman Sam Gejdenson. MoveOn.Org's political action committee endorsed Sullivan last month and sent an e-mail to its 2 million members on Sept. 23 asking them to donate money to Sullivan, whom they called an anti-war antidote to Republican incumbent Rob Simmons.  In less than a week, members from across the country donated more than $80,000.

Please do all you can for Rob.

Connecticut House Seat (CT-04) – Chris Shays (incumbent)

A UConn poll of 411 likely CT4 voters taken 10/11-10/15 shows Rep. Chris Shays (R) leading Diane Farrell (D) 44%-37%.  One of the Democrats' best hopes for picking up seats in the House is Connecticut's 4th District race. Democratic challenger Diane Farrell is making a strong challenge in the 4th District, trailing incumbent Congressman Chris Shays by only 8 percentage points entering the final three weeks of the campaign.  This seat is critical to having a moderate Republican voice in New England, please help Chris!

Pennsylvania House Seat (PA-15) – Charlie Dent (open seat)

The 15th District is the Lehigh Valley, where Republican Rep. Pat Toomey is stepping down after three terms. Republican state Sen. Charlie Dent is running as the hometown candidate against wealthy Democratic businessman Joe Driscoll, who moved to the district earlier this year. Dent, a moderate Republican, is widely considered the favorite, but the Driscoll campaign is pointing to narrowing polls and a slight fund-raising edge as signs of the Democrat's momentum.

RMSP has supported Dent and he is in good shape for Nov. 2nd.

 Melissa K. Carlson
Communications Director
Republican Main Street Partnership
1350 I Street, NW, Suite 560
Washington, DC 20005
202.682.3139(w)
 

 RMSP PAC is a political action committee that supports Republican candidates who are fiscally conservative and take a pragmatic, common-sense approach to social issues. For more information on RMSP PAC, visit www.mainstreetpac.com