December 13, 2005

Key fundraising group backing Laffey

The support by the conservative Club for Growth draws the ire of the head of the moderate Republican Main Street Partnership: "We hate this. We should be fighting Democrats."
 
BY JOHN E. MULLIGAN
The Providence Journal
Washington Bureau
 
WASHINGTON -- Cranston Mayor Stephen P. Laffey yesterday won a conservative endorsement yesterday that could be a fundraising boon to his campaign to unseat Sen. Lincoln D. Chafee in next year's Republican primary.
 
The Club for Growth's embrace of the "pro-growth, Reagan Republican," as its leader dubbed Laffey, is a seal of approval that could command the attention -- and open the checkbooks -- of conservative actvists around the county.
 
"I'm happy to have their help," Laffey said in an interview, renewing his pledge to shake things up in Washington and fight "pork barrel spending" by both political parties.
 
Club for Growth President Pat Toomey's endorsement dovetails with Laffey's campaign thus far. Toomey, a former Pennsylvania congressman who grew up in East Providence, called Laffey "an outsider, antiestablishment kind of guy that wants to clean up the mess in Washington."
 
That message, "really resonates with anybody" in Rhode Island, Toomey said, answering the popular assertion in political circles that the comparatively conservative Laffey would have an easier time threatening Chafee's political survival than winning a general election in liberal Rhode Island.
 
Chafee's campaign manager, Ian Lang, reiterated the charge that Laffey's record as mayor disqualifies him as an economic conservative. Toomey's organization ought to be renamed "the club for deficit growth," he remarked.
 
But the endorsement also aroused GOP concerns that the fight inside the party will throw the seat to the Democrats. A GOP moderate group, the Republican Main Street Partnership, immediately took the unusual step of announcing plans to spend more than $1.2 million in advertising, mailings, get-out-the-vote drives and other efforts to reelect Chafee.
 
"We hate this," said Sarah Chamberlain Resnick, executive director of the Main Street group, which Chafee's late father helped to found. "We should be fighting Democrats."
 
Independent analysts called the Club for Growth endorsement a significant event in the campaign -- even though the September primary is nine months away -- but one that contains some peril as well as promise for Laffey.
 
"They [Club for Growth] have a pretty good track record of raising money for people," said Jennifer Duffy, a Senate campaign analyst with the Cook Political Report in Washington.
 
But Duffy said the question remains whether the Club for Growth -- which focuses on cuts in federal taxes, spending and trade barriers -- commands a broad enough constituency to pull Laffey through an "open" primary that may draw many independents.
Larry Sabato, a political scientist at the University of Virginia, called the endorsement "very important," and certain to induce "a lot of heartburn" in the Chafee campaign and the GOP establishment in Washington.
 
"Rhode Island's Republican Party is so small" that economic conservatives -- people likely to be attuned to the Club for Growth's signals -- could make up an outsized fraction of the turnout, Sabato said.
Sabato said that the club's largest influence might be through affiliated committees -- "outside expenditure groups," as they are known in the election business -- created to funnel money into campaigns. "These groups can always be a double-edged sword," particularly if their operatives misread the political climate in their target states.
 
Even though Laffey has no say in the Club for Growth's expenditures, "negative ads" by such a group "could very well turn off conservatives" whom Laffey needs to win the primary -- or the other voters he would need if he gets to the general election, Sabato said.
 
The Club for Growth's $2.7 million in contributions as of early October placed the group fourth in 2006 election fundraising by the advocacy groups that run ads and do other independent expenditures, according to the independent Center for Responsive Politics. (The Service Employees International Union, the liberal group Americans Coming Together, and the American Federation of State, Federal and Municipal Employes rank one, two and three, respectively, according to CRP, a campaign finance watchdog group.)
 
The Club for Growth ranked 12th among such groups in the 2004 elections, spending about $13 million. Swift Boat Veterans and POWs for Truth, by comparison, was one of the top conservative-oriented groups, spending about $22.6 million in opposition to Sen. John F. Kerry, the Democratic presidential nominee. Americans Coming Together topped the list, spending about $78 million in an effort to defeat Mr. Bush.
 
The Club for Growth also spent millions against Kerry but was probably more closely identified with a high-profile Senate primary, Toomey's near-miss campaign against Republican Sen. Arlen Specter.
 
"Toomey came very close to unseating a powerful, senior member of the Republican Senate," Sabato recalled, noting that the then-congressman won about 49 percent of the 2004 Pennsylvania vote.
 
Earlier this year, the Club for Growth aired TV ads in Rhode Island and several other states in an effort to rally support for Mr. Bush's plan to overhaul Social Security.
 
Toomey called the 2006 Laffey-Chafee primary contest "the first skirmish in a very important battle" to rededicate the GOP to the limited-government principles of the late President Ronald Reagan.
 
Toomey said a Senator Laffey "would cut wasteful spending, especially corporate welfare; make the Bush tax cuts permanent; expand international trade; reform insolvent entitlements and fix broken tort laws." But Toomey, who first announced the endorsement yesterday in a Wall Street Journal opinion column, focused at least as much on condemning the incumbent Chafee as a liberal who "epitomizes the GOP's waning commitment to limited government and economic freedom."