In a highly unusual set of circumstances, four
Arizona Republican House Members face serious
primary challenges today, with freshman Rep.
Trent Franks widely regarded as the most
endangered.
Franks faces radio executive Rick Murphy in the
northwestern Arizona 2nd district, a Republican
stronghold that he won by securing the GOP
nomination in 2002 by just 797 votes. The
increasingly nasty race has largely broken along
ideological lines.
Murphy has stayed competitive with Franks
throughout the contest on the financial front,
thanks to $550,000 worth of personal loans to
the campaign.
“We have been able to set the agenda of the
race,” said Murphy media consultant Michael
Shannon. “It is about Franks’ inability to keep
his promises.”
Franks did not respond to a call seeking
comment.
Elsewhere in the state, Rep. Jim Kolbe (R) faces
a challenge from conservative state House
Majority Whip Randy Graf in the southern Arizona
8th district, while Rep. Jeff Flake (R) is being
opposed by former state Sen. Stan Barnes in the
suburban Phoenix 6th district. In the
neighboring 5th district, Roselyn O’Connell, the
former chairwoman of the National Women’s
Political Caucus, is taking on Rep. J.D.
Hayworth (R).
Freshman Rick Renzi (R) has escaped without a
primary in the 1st district but is seen as one
of Democrats’ top targets in the fall. He will
face former Flagstaff Mayor Paul Babbitt (D) in
November.
Nevada voters will also go to the polls today,
to select a Republican challenger to Senate
Minority Whip Harry Reid (D) and challengers to
the state’s three House incumbents. None of
these primaries is expected to be particularly
competitive.
But in Arizona, state observers acknowledge the
rarity of having so many credible primary
challengers, considering that since the state’s
founding in 1912, only five incumbents of either
party have been defeated in primaries.
Rather than detecting an overarching statewide
trend, however, strategists say each primary has
its own unusual set of circumstances.
Flake, for instance, has pledged to serve just
three terms, a promise that will come due in
2006. Barnes, who previously ran unsuccessfully
for Congress in 1992, is likely using this race
to build name identification district-wide for a
possible open-seat race next cycle.
Similarly, O’Connell may be positioning herself
for a second run in the 5th district in 2006 if,
as is widely speculated, Hayworth decides to
challenge Gov. Janet Napolitano (D).
In Franks’ case, his first re-election bid
following a narrow primary win in 2002 makes him
an extremely attractive target for ambitious
Republicans.
The odd-shaped 2nd district takes in much of the
northwest corner of the state, with two arms
snaking through the Hopi Indian Reservation in
the north and the Phoenix suburbs in the south.
More than 80 percent of the district’s
population lives in the Phoenix suburbs, making
it a solidly Republican seat where President
Bush took 56 percent in 2000. The likely
Democratic candidate is 2002 nominee Randy
Camacho.
Murphy, who owns five radio stations in the
district, began his campaign in March with a
pledge to spend up to $1 million of his own
money to unseat Franks. He seems unlikely to
meet that earlier pledge but has given himself
enough money to stay at parity with Franks.
In fact, through Aug. 18, Murphy had a decided
cash-on-hand edge with $380,000 in the bank to
Franks’ $137,000.
Although Franks gave himself $300,000 in his
2002 race, he has yet to make a similar donation
this time around.
To this point, Murphy has largely dictated the
terms of the contest, taking to Phoenix
broadcast television to promote a message that
Franks does not keep his word.
Murphy has attacked Franks on his decision to
accept money from political action committees
after pledging not to do so last cycle, and for
his reversal on the Medicare prescription drug
bill in 2003. Franks originally opposed the bill
but switched his vote under pressure from the
White House and Congressional leaders. The
measure ultimately passed 220 to 215.
Murphy is currently up with an ad touting his
endorsement by The Arizona Republic.
As he did in 2002, Franks has run a largely
unorthodox campaign, relying on targeted radio
advertising and direct mail to reach voters.
He has decried Murphy for running a negative
campaign, a charge that Shannon rejects.
“If you tell a Congressman he has a stain on his
tie, he says it’s a vicious personal attack,”
Shannon said.
In this contest, Franks seems likely to rely on
the same base of abortion rights opponents and
Christian conservatives that delivered him a
narrow 28 percent to 26 percent win in the 2002
GOP primary.
In that race, Franks was not initially seen as a
top-tier candidate to replace Rep. Bob Stump
(R), who was retiring after 13 terms.
Stump had endorsed his longtime chief of staff,
Lisa Atkins making her the prohibitive favorite
in the Republican primary. Franks, however, eked
out a 797-vote victory over Atkins, and then
cruised to a 60 percent to 37 percent win over
Camacho in the fall.
While Franks appears to be the only incumbent in
truly serious jeopardy of losing on today, the
race in the 8th district between Kolbe and Graf
has also drawn considerable attention.
Kolbe has put together a largely moderate voting
record during his 20 years in the House but
faces a serious challenge from Graf, who calls
the Congressman too liberal on immigration
issues and says his pro-abortion rights stance
is out of step with the district.
The two also differ on a federal amendment
banning gay marriage. Graf supports such an
amendment while Kolbe, the only openly gay
Republican Member of Congress, opposes it.
A former golf pro, Graf has run an extremely
aggressive campaign but has raised almost no
money, making an upset of Kolbe a long shot.
As of Aug. 18, Graf had raised just $27,000 for
the race with $20,000 on hand. Kolbe had raised
$833,000 in the cycle to date with a hefty
$559,000 left in the bank.
Kolbe has also brought together strange
bedfellows in his campaign, receiving the
endorsement of both the Club for Growth, a
leading voice in the conservative movement, and
the Republican Main Street Partnership, which
backs moderate candidates.
Meanwhile, in Nevada, the most active primary
fight is the one for the right to become the GOP
Senate nominee.
Six men are vying for the right to take on Reid,
the heavy favorite.
Leading the pack of relative unknowns is Richard
Ziser, who probably has the highest name
recognition thanks to his leading role in the
state’s successful ballot initiative banning gay
marriage.
Ziser’s campaign seems to be based primarily on
contrasting his opposition to gay marriage with
Reid’s opposition to a Constitutional amendment
barring such unions.
Prominently displayed on Ziser’s campaign Web
site is a box that reads “who does Harry Reid
represent?” and then becomes a link to the Human
Rights Campaign, a group that supports equal
rights for gays and lesbians. The link takes
visitors to the group’s Web page, where it says
Reid has earned a 100 percent rating from the
Human Rights Campaign and seeks contributions
for Reid’s campaign.
A former GOP legislative Senate aide named Royle
Melton is also on the ballot.
Melton served former U.S. Senators Chic Hecht
and Paul Laxalt, both Republicans, in their
Washington offices.
Also running are four unknowns, some of whom
hold conspiratorial and bigoted beliefs.
For instance, Florida resident Robert Brown told
the Las Vegas Review-Journal that nuclear waste
is already being dumped at Yucca Mountain, 100
miles northwest of Las Vegas, “under the cover
of darkness.”
Kenneth Wegner says the Mexican border needs
more protection to weed out immigrants who are
“disease free and want to be citizens” from ones
who come to the United States solely to “rape
our country, go on welfare and get your kids a
free lunch.”
Also running are garbage truck driver Carlo
Poliak, who now goes by just Poliak, and Cherie
Tilley, who boasts of having played high school
football with Vice President Cheney in Casper,
Wyo.
Whoever wins faces a daunting task as Reid has
almost $5 million in the bank. His closest
competitor, Ziser, has only about $33,000 cash
on hand.
In the House contests, Rep. Shelley Berkley
faces two challengers in the 1st district
Democratic primary, though she is expected to
win easily.
Six Democrats are vying for the right to
challenge Rep. Jon Porter (R) in the 3rd, though
former Park Place CEO Tom Gallagher is expected
to win.
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